TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 7:27 AM EST
Kalshi
Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu will compete in a Korea K League 1 professional soccer match on July 22, 2026. These markets track the combined goal total scored during only the first half of the match.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both teams during the first half only of the Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu professional Korea K League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined first-half goal total exceeds its specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, prediction market prices may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper early action. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on first-half goal outcomes. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, injury updates—traders adjust their orders, moving the price. The spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on order flow and uncertainty around the match.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the first half of the Gwangju versus Gimcheon match concludes and the goal total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official goal count recorded during the opening 45 minutes of play. No adjustments are made after the half ends, and the market settles based on the final verified tally from that period alone.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can shift expectations around scoring pace significantly. Weather conditions closer to kickoff, such as heavy rain or wind, may suppress goal totals. Lineup announcements and tactical formations revealed before the match often trigger repricing as traders adjust for attacking or defensive setups. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster changes can all influence how traders reassess the likelihood of higher or lower first-half scoring. Monitor official team channels and sports news for these catalysts.