TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For an exact-score outcome, sportsbooks may offer limited options or wider spreads, whereas this market allows traders to price every possible scoreline. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and market-derived probability differ, offering insight into which outcomes the crowd views as undervalued or overpriced.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share in any result—such as Gwangju 2-1 Ulsan—rises as more traders purchase it, and falls as traders sell. This dynamic pricing ensures liquidity while naturally concentrating probability mass on outcomes the crowd views as most likely. The current leading outcome reflects where the largest volume of capital has flowed, signaling the market's strongest conviction on the final scoreline.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Gwangju FC versus Ulsan HD FC match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Traders who correctly predicted the precise scoreline receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the result is confirmed, with no manual intervention required.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—typically drives significant repricing in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may also signal a shift in consensus. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or venue changes would likely trigger sharp moves. The market remains most volatile in the hours immediately before the match begins, when final information becomes available.