TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gwangju FC" if Gwangju FC score more goals than Pohang Steelers FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pohang Steelers FC" if Pohang Steelers FC score more goals than Gwangju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gwangju FC" if Gwangju FC score more goals than Pohang Steelers FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pohang Steelers FC" if Pohang Steelers FC score more goals than Gwangju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders spot value that bookmakers have mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to acquire a share reflects the current probability; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and others fall. Liquidity pools determine how much slippage you encounter on larger trades. Real-time price discovery means the market continuously reprices based on new information, team news, or shifting sentiment, so odds can move significantly between your quote and execution.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the second half of the Gwangju vs. Pohang match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only; draws are possible if both teams score equally or neither scores. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information before payouts are processed.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. First-half momentum and scoreline will heavily influence second-half expectations; a team trailing by multiple goals may trade at lower odds for a comeback. In-game events like red cards, goalkeeper injuries, or tactical substitutions during halftime can trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, crowd noise, and psychological factors (e.g., a team needing a result) also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp action can move prices rapidly as new information surfaces.