TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gwangju FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
Volume:
$130,908
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the March 14, 2026 K League 1 soccer match between Gwangju FC and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC. Markets track whether Gwangju wins, Jeonbuk wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance for its tie market, creating ambiguity in the low-probability cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Track K League official announcements for postponements or cancellations. If a cancellation occurs with no makeup game scheduled, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve Yes. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined—contact Kalshi support for clarification if this becomes relevant. For normal match outcomes (win/loss/draw), both platforms are aligned.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Gwangju win (Yes if Gwangju wins, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise, but Yes if canceled with no makeup), and Jeonbuk win (Yes if Jeonbuk wins, No otherwise). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three combined outcomes: Gwangju win resolves Yes, Jeonbuk win resolves Yes, Tie resolves Yes (mutually exclusive). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Gwangju vs Jeonbuk professional Korea K League 1 soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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