TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Jeju SK FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Jeju SK FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue processes new information faster. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome, offering insight into consensus strength and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate demand for each outcome; as traders accumulate shares in a particular score, its implied probability shifts upward, and competing outcomes become relatively cheaper. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, team updates, or shifts in trader conviction throughout the lead-up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Gwangju FC versus Jeju SK FC match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard completion triggers immediate settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, tactical announcements, or recent form trends in either squad. Head-to-head history and home-field advantage can shift trader positioning as match day nears. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any last-minute lineup changes may also influence exact-score probabilities. Additionally, if either team secures or is eliminated from playoff contention before the fixture, motivation levels could change market expectations. Real-time updates during the pre-match period often trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches traders.