TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:39 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gwangju FC" if Gwangju FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gwangju FC" if Gwangju FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders spot value or inefficiency. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views exist among different betting communities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with each transaction updating the price based on supply and demand. Liquidity providers earn fees from the spread, incentivizing tighter pricing as more capital enters the market. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the Gwangju FC versus Gimcheon Sangmu FC match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed and finalized, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who backed the correct outcome and returning their stake to those on the losing side.
Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly shift implied probabilities. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price movement as traders react to confirmed starting elevens. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage may also influence sentiment. Weather conditions and referee assignments occasionally matter for goal-scoring dynamics. As match day nears, late-breaking tactical changes or unexpected roster updates can create trading opportunities for those monitoring this market closely.