TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the margin of victory in the Guyana vs Cayman Islands match, focusing on whether Guyana or Cayman Islands achieves a win by a specified goal difference within regular time. Different markets cover varying degrees of dominance for each team.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if either team wins the Guyana vs Cayman Islands professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. Markets specify thresholds for Guyana winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and for Cayman Islands winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the result meets or exceeds the threshold for the specified team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Guyana vs Cayman Islands match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; as more people believe a particular spread is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Guyana vs Cayman Islands match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing sports body. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will receive nothing. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by polls or expert analysis, might also move the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the price to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.