TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific teams will exceed designated run thresholds in an upcoming cricket match. Bettors assess team performance potential against historical and contextual data to predict outcomes. The resolution depends purely on the actual runs scored during the match play.
All markets resolve based on the total runs each team scores in the specified Caribbean Premier League cricket match. If a team's runs exceed the stated threshold (139.5, 164.5, or 189.5), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Pre-match cancellations result in all markets resolving to fair market price. If play begins but no official result is declared—including via Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method—all markets resolve to fair market price, except for those based on already achieved statistics, which resolve on recorded results. For shortened matches with an official result, match winner markets resolve per the official outcome, while statistical markets resolve strictly on actual recorded figures without projections. Any match delayed beyond 48 hours from its scheduled start time also resolves to fair market price.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile prices. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in perception, as traders may weigh factors like recent team form or weather conditions differently.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects collective expectations about the Guyana Amazon Warriors' scoring potential in this matchup. With a volume of $5,605, the market shows moderate interest so far. Traders adjust positions based on team news, pitch conditions, and recent batting performance, all influencing the implied probability of different run totals.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run total scored by the Guyana Amazon Warriors in the match will determine if contracts are settled as over or under the specified line, based on official match records.
In the coming weeks, several factors could shift expectations in this market. Key batting injuries or lineup changes for the Guyana Amazon Warriors would likely lower the projected run total. Conversely, favorable pitch conditions or the inclusion of high-scoring players could push the odds toward higher totals. Weather disruptions affecting match length may also impact probabilities, as shorter games often yield fewer runs. All of these developments will be reflected in updated pricing on Kalshi as Aug 20, 2026 approaches.