TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This is a professional women's doubles tennis match scheduled for July 6, 2026, in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon between the teams of Hanyu Guo and Kristina Mladenovic versus Anastasia Detiuc and Irina Khromacheva. The market will determine which team wins the match.
Resolution requires that a ball has been played in the match, establishing that competition has commenced. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes following the rescheduled match completion, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original date.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook pricing depending on which venue has faster information flow or deeper liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the spread between them reflects the current consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the marginal trader's belief about the outcome, updated in real time as new information emerges or positions shift. Wider spreads typically indicate lower confidence or liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest strong agreement and active trading interest in the matchup.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the doubles match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—either Guo and Mladenovic win, or Detiuc and Khromacheva win. No draws or ties are possible in tennis doubles, so the resolution is binary and straightforward once the final set is complete.
Key catalysts include recent form and head-to-head records between the pairs, player injuries or withdrawals, court surface conditions, and any roster or partnership changes. Media coverage and expert analysis closer to the match date often shift trader sentiment. Weather forecasts, seeding announcements, and draws can also influence pricing. Late-breaking news about player fitness or tactical adjustments in the days before the match may trigger sharp moves in the odds as new information reaches the market.