TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
Two cricket teams compete in an Indian Premier League match, with outcomes determined by the combined number of sixes hit by both teams across different thresholds during the match.
On Kalshi, the Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru total sixes market is priced as a binary contract: Will there be over 19.5 total match sixes? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the probability traders assign to exceeding that threshold. Prices move continuously as new information arrives—team form, pitch reports, weather updates, and live match action all influence the contract value. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, and the mid-market price represents the equilibrium belief about whether the match will produce more than 19.5 sixes by resolution.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final count of sixes hit by both teams combined during the completed match. The outcome hinges on whether the total reaches or exceeds the threshold specified in the contract. Factors include batting aggression, bowler quality, pitch conditions, and match situation. Once the match concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the market settles based on the verified six count.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match begins and during play. Team announcements—injuries, roster changes, or surprise inclusions of aggressive batsmen—often trigger repricing. Pitch reports and weather forecasts affect expectations for boundary-friendly conditions. Toss outcome and team batting order reveal strategic intent. During the match itself, early sixes, fall of wickets, and momentum swings cause rapid price adjustments. Player form in the lead-up, head-to-head records, and venue history also influence trader positioning on whether the sixes total will exceed 19.5.