TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Guinea vs. Rwanda
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Guinea vs Rwanda?

Volume:
$29,403

Guinea

 - Kalshi

Guinea - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 6:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guinea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,119
N/A
N/A
$5,051
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Guinea vs. Rwanda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rwanda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,608
N/A
N/A
$15,325
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Guinea and Rwanda scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both Rwanda winning and Guinea winning are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is clarified. Polymarket's binary structure (Guinea vs Rwanda with postponement and cancellation rules) is logically sound and should be your reference framework.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Guinea resolves to Guinea, Rwanda resolves to Rwanda. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: market resolves Yes if Rwanda wins AND also resolves Yes if Guinea wins. No condition maps to No resolution, making the market logically impossible to settle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 5:00AM ET: If the Guinea win, the market will resolve to "Guinea". If the Rwanda win, the market will resolve to "Rwanda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Rwanda vs Guinea professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates trader sentiment on the Guinea vs. Rwanda football match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading prediction platforms. This dashboard consolidates real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus probability estimates from both venues, letting you monitor how the market prices each outcome as new information emerges. By tracking cross-platform activity, you gain insight into whether professional traders and casual predictors agree on the likely result, or if significant divergence signals uncertainty or platform-specific trading patterns.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader buying and selling to discover prices. This market often reflects real-time consensus among thousands of independent traders, which can diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity, risk appetite, and information sets. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or highlight where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases and operate under distinct rule sets, leading to price variations on the same event. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform-specific factors—such as user demographics, fee structures, liquidity depth, and settlement procedures—can cause one venue to price the outcome higher or lower than the other. Monitoring both helps you spot mispricings and understand whether differences reflect genuine disagreement or temporary imbalances that may correct as arbitrageurs trade across platforms.

Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—that shift expectations around squad strength. International fixture results and recent form leading up to kickoff often trigger repricing as traders update their confidence. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head history can also influence trading activity. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering either side may signal new information, prompting rapid market moves as other traders react and adjust their positions.