TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Guinea vs. Cameroon
polymarket
kalshi

Guinea vs. Cameroon

Volume:
$102,422

Guinea

 - Kalshi

Guinea - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 12:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guinea

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,839
N/A
N/A
$28,717
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Guinea vs. Cameroon

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cameroon

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,022
N/A
N/A
$31,564
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameroon (-3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Guinea and Cameroon, scheduled for August 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental mismatch in resolution logic: Polymarket uses outcome-based resolution (Guinea/Cameroon/50-50) while Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for any winner.Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform arbitrage. Polymarket offers clearer outcome-based resolution aligned with standard sports betting. Kalshi's binary resolution creates ambiguity for market participants.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team name if that team wins, or 50-50 if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, regardless of which team wins. This creates a binary outcome that doesn't distinguish between Guinea or Cameroon victories.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Guinea win, the market will resolve to "Guinea". If the Cameroon win, the market will resolve to "Cameroon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the designated FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.