TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Llaneros FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Llaneros FC?

Volume:
$1,360,032

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 7:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$335,052
N/A
N/A
$153,922
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Llaneros FC)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Llaneros

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538,877
N/A
N/A
$206,973
Settled
No
polymarket

Llaneros FC

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aguilas Doradas Rionegro

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$324,465
N/A
N/A
$169,193
Settled
No
polymarket

Águilas Doradas Rionegro

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the soccer match between Águilas Doradas Rionegro and Llaneros FC, scheduled for August 9, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution details provided by https://dimayor.com.co/. The final outcome will be confirmed following the match's conclusion on August 9, 2026, including any stoppage time, according to the official league rules and reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence in market structure and resolution logic between Polymarket (three separate binary markets) and Kalshi (single market resolving to Yes for any outcome)Hero tip: Traders should avoid cross-platform hedging strategies due to the structural divergence. Focus on platform-specific outcomes and monitor official DIMAYOR announcements for cancellation/postponement status

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets for Águilas win, draw, and Llaneros win. Cancellations resolve to No for win markets and Yes for draw market. Postponements keep markets open.
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Águilas wins, Llaneros wins, or match ends in draw. No specific handling for cancellations in description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, August 9, 2026 between Águilas Doradas Rionegro and Llaneros FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for August 19, 2026: a win for Aguilas Doradas Rionegro, a win for Llaneros, or a tie—all determined after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information efficiency. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp operator adjustments, prediction markets let traders react instantly to new data, such as player injuries or weather conditions. This can create price gaps; for example, a sharp shift in trader sentiment might move this market more aggressively than sportsbook adjustments in the same period, reflecting real-time consensus rather than fixed odds.