TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 9:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This group of markets covers various betting lines for an upcoming Colombia Primera A soccer match between Águilas Doradas Rionegro and Independiente Santa Fe, including spread bets, over/under totals, and team-specific scoring outcomes.
More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for July 26 at 5:05 PM ET.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026, between Aguilas Doradas Rionegro and Independiente Santa Fe. Four distinct conditions are considered, each focusing on the margin of victory for either team. If Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. A second market resolves to Yes if Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins by more than 1.5 goals. Conversely, if Independiente Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals, a third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if Independiente Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All resolutions are based solely on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The governing rules explicitly state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through decentralized trading, while Kalshi may apply different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often creates variance in how quickly each platform updates its odds after major news, injuries, or tactical shifts. Additionally, differing trader demographics and market depth can push probabilities apart, especially for niche sports events.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical announcements can all shift this market. Traders will also react to early match momentum, such as goal differentials or red cards, which may dramatically alter implied probabilities on both platforms. Any last-minute lineup changes released before kickoff are likely to produce sharp price swings.