This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Águilas Doradas Rionegro and CDP Junior FC scheduled for April 11-12, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Águilas Doradas wins, whether CDP Junior wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Date discrepancy (April 11 vs April 12) and conflicting cancellation logic between platforms. Polymarket's draw market rewards cancellation with YES, while win markets reward it with NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.
Hero Tip:
Verify the official match date via DIMAYOR.com.co before trading. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will profit while win-market holders lose; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Consider the draw market on Polymarket as a proxy hedge against cancellation risk.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Águilas win, CDP Junior win, Draw) scheduled for April 12, 2026. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up; both win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Resolution source is DIMAYOR or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end.
Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Junior win, Águilas win, Tie) scheduled for April 11, 2026. All resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided in the source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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