TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Serie C soccer match between Guidonia Montecelio and Livorno. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for September 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news influences sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model to ensure fair and efficient trading, allowing participants to express their views and profit from accurate predictions regarding the Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact predictions about the Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno match. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also drive trading volume and price movements. Unexpected performance in prior matches or even pre-game commentary from key figures could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their forecasts on Kalshi.