TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match between Guayaquil City and Delfin scheduled for July 11, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with separate markets for each team winning or the match ending in a tie.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Guayaquil City vs Delfin professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome market—Guayaquil City win, Delfin win, or Tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may move faster or more dramatically than sportsbook lines during breaking news or late-stage trading, and the implied probabilities can differ significantly. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that result at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing prices to move. The spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and uncertainty, directly influencing how easily you can enter or exit a position.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders incorporate team news, injury updates, and other factors that may influence the game. After resolution, all shares will settle to their final value, and traders' profits or losses will be locked in.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts announced by either side. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and travel circumstances can also sway trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis may shift the perceived probability of each outcome. Late-breaking news—such as a surprise lineup decision or a player's unexpected availability—often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess their positions in the final hours before kickoff.