TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guayaquil City FC" if Guayaquil City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mushuc Runa SC" if Mushuc Runa SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guayaquil City FC" if Guayaquil City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mushuc Runa SC" if Mushuc Runa SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or even initial sportsbook offerings, as traders continuously update their assessments based on new information. It's a fascinating comparison to see how the crowd's view differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC match. The official match records will be used to verify the result. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, focusing on publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guayaquil City FC or Mushuc Runa SC would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, recent match results, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.