TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the match's likely result. The current price distribution shows a strong conviction that the game will not end in a decisive victory for either side, with the 2-2 draw being the most heavily traded outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Guayaquil City vs. Mushuc Runa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, and any disputes will be settled based on that official record. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guayaquil City FC or Mushuc Runa SC would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different exact scores.