TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC?

Volume:
$377,834

Guayaquil City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 8:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guayaquil City

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$211,740
N/A
N/A
$100,192
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Guayaquil City FC

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mushuc Runa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76,242
N/A
N/A
$46,952
Settled
No
polymarket

Mushuc Runa SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,337
N/A
N/A
$46,136
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Guayaquil City FC vs. Mushuc Runa SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Guayaquil City winning, Mushuc Runa winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different resolution criteria for game cancellation across platforms.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation scenario when trading. Polymarket and Kalshi have opposing resolutions for canceled games, creating potential discrepancies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No" for win/draw markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the 'Tie' market resolves to "Yes" and win markets resolve to "No".
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Guayaquil City scores more goals than Mushuc Runa by the end of this period, the 'Guayaquil City' market resolves to Yes. If Mushuc Runa scores more goals, the 'Mushuc Runa' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Guayaquil City vs. Mushuc Runa match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $377,834, with $371,379 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the probability of different results, providing a unique perspective beyond traditional odds. The current market indicates a high degree of confidence in one outcome, though prices can shift as new information becomes available and traders react to developments. This dashboard provides a clear overview of how the prediction market is interpreting the potential for each team to win.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, reflecting the true probability of an event. While sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns, this market relies on informed traders and a dynamic exchange of opinions, potentially offering a different perspective on the Guayaquil City vs. Mushuc Runa match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which influence price formation. Additionally, differing levels of information and analysis among traders on each platform can lead to varying assessments of the likelihood of different outcomes in the Guayaquil City vs. Mushuc Runa match. Market sentiment and the timing of trades can also contribute to temporary discrepancies. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability, these factors can create short-term price differences.