TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Guatemala vs El Salvador: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Guatemala vs El Salvador?

Volume:
$365,794

Guatemala wins by more than 3.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 3.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 11:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,198
N/A
N/A
$58,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98,214
N/A
N/A
$36,138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,296
N/A
N/A
$33,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 4.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,590
N/A
N/A
$9,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 5.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,043
N/A
N/A
$6,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

El Salvador wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,995
N/A
N/A
$25,252
Settled
No
kalshi

El Salvador wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,404
N/A
N/A
$11,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Guatemala wins by more than 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets evaluate the margin of victory in the Guatemala versus El Salvador match, focusing on whether one team wins by a specific goal difference. The result is determined solely by the score difference after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Guatemala or El Salvador wins the match. A market specifying 'Guatemala wins by more than X.5 goals' resolves to Yes if Guatemala's victory margin exceeds the stated threshold. Similarly, a market specifying 'El Salvador wins by more than X.5 goals' resolves to Yes if El Salvador's victory margin exceeds its threshold. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Guatemala vs El Salvador match tracks the current price of contracts representing different spread outcomes. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $357,086. Currently, the total volume for this market is $365,794. This allows traders to analyze market sentiment and potential movement before Sep 29, 2026. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will ultimately land.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate differing expectations about the outcome of the Guatemala vs El Salvador match. It’s worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a large number of participants contribute.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Buying a contract is essentially betting that the spread will fall within the specified range, while selling a contract is betting against it. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Guatemala vs El Salvador match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Guatemala or El Salvador team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause fluctuations. Increased media coverage or public attention could also drive trading volume and price changes in this market.