TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 11:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Guatemala and Czech Republic (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 5, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the collective trades of market participants who buy and sell shares representing yes or no positions. The current price reflects the marginal probability that Guatemala and Czech Republic will receive 4 or more total cards. Limitless uses an automated market maker or order-book mechanism to match buyers and sellers, with prices updating in real time as new trades execute. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before the Jun 6, 2026 resolution date, allowing continuous repricing based on new information and shifting expectations about match intensity and officiating.
The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026 following the conclusion of the Guatemala versus Czech Republic match. Resolution is determined by the final count of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular and extra time. The outcome is binary: if the total is 4 or more cards, the yes position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the no position wins. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for card tallies used to settle all positions on this event.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury reports, which reveal whether aggressive or disciplined players will take the field. Referee assignment announcements matter significantly, as some officials issue cards more liberally than others. Pre-match analysis from football experts and media coverage of both teams' recent card accumulation rates can shift trader expectations. During the match itself, early fouls, tactical intensity, and any controversial incidents will drive real-time repricing. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and match stakes also influence playing style and officiating severity, all of which affect the likelihood of reaching the 4-card threshold.