TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 9:07 PM EST
Kalshi
Guarani and Ypiranga face off in a professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
If Guarani wins the Guarani vs Ypiranga professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Ypiranga wins the Guarani vs Ypiranga professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Guarani vs Ypiranga professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders rather than set odds from a bookmaker. In this market, the probability implied by trader activity may be higher or lower than standard sportsbook lines depending on recent performance, injuries, or other factors. Traders can react faster to new information, potentially creating price gaps that bettors might exploit. Watching both sides gives a fuller picture of expectations around the match’s outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s chance is shown as a percentage, updated constantly based on trading volume and order flow. Market depth and recent trades influence how tightly packed the bids and asks are, affecting liquidity and slippage for larger orders. Volume of $448,366 indicates overall interest and can signal shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined outcomes. Once the match concludes and the result is reported by trusted sports news sources, the market is settled automatically according to Kalshi’s rules. No manual intervention is required after the game is officially over.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Strong recent form from either team, shifts in betting trends, or even broader league dynamics may cause odds to adjust. As the match date approaches, any news that changes the perceived likelihood of each outcome will be reflected in real-time trading on Kalshi, so staying updated on team updates is essential for tracking market movement.