TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijiang Yang and Thomas Fancutt in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijiang Yang' if Zijiang Yang advances against Thomas Fancutt. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Fancutt' if Thomas Fancutt advances against Zijiang Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijiang Yang and Thomas Fancutt in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijiang Yang' if Zijiang Yang advances against Thomas Fancutt. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Fancutt' if Thomas Fancutt advances against Zijiang Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by real-money wagers. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to unexpected developments than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions based on new data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zijiang Yang vs Thomas Fancutt match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for either Zijiang Yang or Thomas Fancutt could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or public perception of the players' form could contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Sep 20, 2026.