TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Akira Santillan in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Akira Santillan in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants have information or perspectives not fully incorporated by sportsbooks. It's possible that the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket anticipates a different outcome than currently priced in by conventional betting outlets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pavel Kotov vs Akira Santillan tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook.