TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Hao Duan in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Hao Duan in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities adjust more rapidly to new information and potentially offer more accurate forecasts than traditional betting markets, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds represent another data point to consider when evaluating the potential outcome of the Honda vs Duan fight.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou fight between Naoya Honda and Hao Duan. The platform will rely on established fight records and reporting from reputable sports news sources to determine the winner. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s venue or rules could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the Honda vs Duan fight could all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.