TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong and Ye Hongyu in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong' if Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong advances against Ye Hongyu. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong and Ye Hongyu in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong' if Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong advances against Ye Hongyu. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of each outcome. As a result, the implied probabilities in this market can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular fighter will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result of the Guangzhou boxing match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result announced by the boxing commission overseeing the Guangzhou match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision or technical knockout will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered as part of the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the fight. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Finally, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches could lead to significant price movements as traders refine their predictions about the Guangzhou boxing match.