TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of sets played in the Guangzhou tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Lloyd Harris will be over or under 2.5 sets. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Marat Sharipov vs. Lloyd Harris: Total Sets O/U 2.5”. Resolution will be determined by the official result reported on the ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET, as the outcome will depend on the number of sets ultimately played to determine the winner.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Lloyd Harris in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Marat Sharipov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions about the likelihood of each outcome. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharipov vs Harris match as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Sharipov or a win for Harris – occurred based on this official result. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could also cause noticeable changes in the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 23, 2026.