TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Kent Trotter and Ziyu Liu in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Kent Trotter' if James Kent Trotter advances against Ziyu Liu. This market will resolve to 'Ziyu Liu' if Ziyu Liu advances against James Kent Trotter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Kent Trotter and Ziyu Liu in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Kent Trotter' if James Kent Trotter advances against Ziyu Liu. This market will resolve to 'Ziyu Liu' if Ziyu Liu advances against James Kent Trotter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to unexpected developments or breaking news related to the fighters.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific fighter winning the Guangzhou boxing match, and this price will fluctuate until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result announced by the boxing commission overseeing the Guangzhou boxing match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, but the initial official announcement will serve as the primary basis for resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also be a catalyst, as could any official announcements from the boxing commission. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts or shifts in public perception regarding each fighter’s chances could drive trading activity and alter the price of shares in this market leading up to the fight.