TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Elias Ymer and Marat Sharipov in Guangzhou will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Guangzhou: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match schedule for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as confirmation of the match proceeding will be a key signal for this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Marat Sharipov in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing liquidity and the incentives of participants. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but this market represents a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market's price is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand for a particular outcome pushing its price up and increasing its implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou match between Elias Ymer and Marat Sharipov, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by analysis from tennis experts, could lead to changes in volume and price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Sep 25, 2026.