TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Santillan/Sun and Biryukov/Binda in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Sun' if the team of Santillan/Sun advances against Biryukov/Binda. This market will resolve to 'Biryukov/Binda' if the team of Biryukov/Binda advances against Santillan/Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Santillan/Sun and Biryukov/Binda in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Sun' if the team of Santillan/Sun advances against Biryukov/Binda. This market will resolve to 'Biryukov/Binda' if the team of Biryukov/Binda advances against Santillan/Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of liquidity and the specific user bases of each venue. It’s common to see some divergence, especially before the event begins, as traders weigh different factors influencing the Guangzhou doubles match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Guangzhou doubles match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast based on the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou doubles match, determining which pairing – Santillan/Sun or Biryukov/Binda – emerges victorious. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions affecting the match could trigger significant price movements. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also sway traders' opinions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 21, 2026.