TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Alexandr Binda in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Alexandr Binda in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on information and analysis. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's important to compare these odds to those offered by sportsbooks to assess where potential value might lie, considering the differing approaches to probability assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tomic vs Binda match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that constantly updates as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Tomic vs Binda match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will then determine which outcome – a Tomic win or a Binda win – is the winning share, and those shares will be settled accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Sep 25, 2026 resolution.