TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 9:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Kosuke Ogura in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Kosuke Ogura. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Kosuke Ogura in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Kosuke Ogura. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by trader activity on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou match between Alexandr Binda and Kosuke Ogura, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each competitor’s chances. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as alterations to the match schedule or venue, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, may lead traders to adjust their positions and alter the market’s pricing.