TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Aoran Wang in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Aoran Wang. This market will resolve to 'Aoran Wang' if Aoran Wang advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Aoran Wang in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Aoran Wang. This market will resolve to 'Aoran Wang' if Aoran Wang advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the players’ probabilities of winning. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that hasn’t been fully factored into traditional odds. Examining these differences can reveal interesting insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Aoran Wang. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also influence the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in the odds for the Guangzhou tennis match.