TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the margin of victory in the Guadeloupe vs Barbados soccer match. The result will reflect which team wins and by how many goals they win, considering only regulation time plus stoppage time.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Guadeloupe or Barbados wins the professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalties. A market resolves to "Yes" if Guadeloupe wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Barbados wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi has no official connection to CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available, the prices in this market may converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Guadeloupe vs Barbados match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The dynamic interplay of buyers and sellers determines the price movement and overall market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Guadeloupe vs Barbados match, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching staff for either Guadeloupe or Barbados could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors impacting the match could also play a role. Major announcements related to the teams' strategies or pre-game analysis from sports analysts could also lead to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information.