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$1,395,155,069

395,664

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2,626

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5

Polymarket:

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Guadeloupe vs. Barbados
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Guadeloupe vs. Barbados?

Volume:
$488,605

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$126,066
N/A
N/A
$54,045
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Guadeloupe vs. Barbados)

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guadeloupe

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$161,552
N/A
N/A
$78,713
Settled
No
polymarket

Guadeloupe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Barbados

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154,545
N/A
N/A
$55,564
Settled
No
polymarket

Barbados

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Concacaf Nations League soccer game between Guadeloupe and Barbados, scheduled for September 28, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of the game ending in a draw is 93.5%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. A secondary outcome, Guadeloupe winning on September 28, 2026, is currently priced at 6.0%. Resolution will be based on the official result reported by https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 28, 2026, to see if the match proceeds as scheduled and provides a definitive result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's logic is silent on cancellation, implying continued openness or resolution upon a rescheduled game.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no makeup game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (Concacaf, Flashscore, Sofascore) if official data is unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the result of the originally scheduled game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Guadeloupe and Barbados.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Guadeloupe vs Barbados professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either Guadeloupe or Barbados within regulation time resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event exclusively considers regulation time outcomes and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Guadeloupe vs. Barbados match, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find value by comparing the probabilities implied by this market to those offered by sportsbooks, and identifying where there’s disagreement.