TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Guadalajara and Queretaro will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout periods.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Guadalajara vs Queretaro professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all resolutions. Each market has a different threshold for resolution, with outcomes determined by whether the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion between market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Guadalajara vs Queretaro match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment of the likely result. The market is dynamic, responding to new information and shifting expectations in real-time. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Guadalajara vs Queretaro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. All contracts will be settled based on this verified final score, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guadalajara or Queretaro would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect expectations. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches might also lead to shifts in the market. Finally, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence trader behavior and contribute to price fluctuations.