TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The match outcome depends on the point differential between the two teams at the end of regulation time, including stoppage minutes but excluding extra time or penalties.
Markets resolve according to whether either team achieves a victory by a margin exceeding specified goal differences (Guadalajara: >2.5 or >1.5; Pumas UNAM: >1.5 or >2.5). The evaluation occurs after the full 90-minute regulation period plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootout results. The contest must be the designated Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Liga MX match scheduled for September 13, 2026. Kalshi states no official connection to the league governance or intellectual property rights of associated trademarks and logos.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. The goal is to profit by accurately predicting the final spread.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM match as determined by official game statistics. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant changes in player form are also likely to cause price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades by informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and impact the market’s direction.