TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Panna Udvardy in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Panna Udvardy. This market will resolve to 'Panna Udvardy' if Panna Udvardy advances against Cristina Bucsa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Panna Udvardy in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Panna Udvardy. This market will resolve to 'Panna Udvardy' if Panna Udvardy advances against Cristina Bucsa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a crowd-sourced assessment of probabilities, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets process information differently, leading to potential variations in perceived probabilities for the outcome of the Bucsa vs Udvardy match. These differences can stem from varying levels of expertise and access to information among participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and perceived likelihood of either player winning the match. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the fair probability of a specific result.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bucsa vs Udvardy match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. The market will then settle, and share holders will be paid out according to the final result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Bucsa or Udvardy’s physical condition, or even weather forecasts impacting the match, could lead to price fluctuations. Additionally, early results from other matches in the tournament, or general shifts in public perception, may also play a role in moving this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.