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Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32
kalshi

Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32

Volume:
$1,253,254

2+ group winners knocked out

 - Kalshi

2+ group winners knocked out - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 10:33 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ group winners knocked out

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$266,193
N/A
N/A
$264,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1+ group winners knocked out

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,105
N/A
N/A
$8,551
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$319,739
N/A
N/A
$289,099
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301,300
N/A
N/A
$276,058
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,658
N/A
N/A
$181,357
Settled
No
kalshi

11+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,625
N/A
N/A
$45,625
Settled
No
kalshi

10+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,445
N/A
N/A
$39,445
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,620
N/A
N/A
$28,533
Settled
No
kalshi

7+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,726
N/A
N/A
$19,219
Settled
No
kalshi

8+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,220
N/A
N/A
$11,114
Settled
No
kalshi

12 group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,890
N/A
N/A
$6,890
Settled
No
kalshi

9+ group winners knocked out

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,734
N/A
N/A
$4,724
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks how many group-stage winners will be eliminated during the Round of 32 knockout stage at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. On Kalshi, the probability that at least 4 group winners are knocked out stands at 100.0%, while the probability that at least 3 group winners are knocked out is also 100.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of the tournament outcome. Watch the Round of 32 matches concluding around July 4, 2026, which will determine the final count of eliminated group winners.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the total number of group winners from the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage that are knocked out during Round of 32 matches. A group winner is defined as a team that finished in first place within their group during the group stage. Each outcome corresponds to a specific threshold of group winners eliminated. The market resolves Yes for each outcome if at least the specified minimum number of group winners are knocked out, with outcomes ranging from 1+ through 12 group winners. The '12 group winners' outcome resolves Yes only if exactly 12 group winners are eliminated, representing the theoretical maximum since there are 12 groups in the 2026 tournament format.

Frequently asked questions

The Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this sports event. You can monitor current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume of $171,515, and cumulative group volume of $1,253,254. The dashboard displays how market participants are pricing the likelihood of group winners being eliminated in the Round of 32 stage. Historical charts show how sentiment and odds have shifted over time, helping you understand market conviction and identify turning points in trader positioning.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and incorporate margin, while prediction markets update continuously as traders buy and sell shares. For Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32, comparing Kalshi implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish than professional oddsmakers. These differences often signal where smart money is positioning ahead of the tournament stage.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32 is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of whether group winners will be eliminated in the Round of 32. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction that the event occurs. Kalshi's transparent, real-time pricing mechanism allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, with spreads tightening as liquidity and trading volume increase.

The Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32 market resolves on Jul 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual tournament results during the Round of 32 stage. The market will settle based on whether group winners are knocked out at that specific stage of the competition. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and match outcomes as the event approaches to assess the probability of this outcome occurring as scheduled.

Several factors could shift odds for Group Winners Knocked Out in Round of 32 before resolution. Group-stage match results and final standings will directly influence which teams advance and remain vulnerable in the Round of 32. Injury announcements to key players, tactical shifts by top teams, and head-to-head matchup draws will reshape expectations about which group winners face elimination. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns on related markets can also trigger repricing. As the tournament progresses and Round of 32 matchups become clearer, market conviction will sharpen around the likelihood of group winners being knocked out.