TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 1:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns whether a team will successfully complete the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup without conceding any goals. The market focuses on a specific set of traditionally strong football nations and CONCACAF teams, tracking which, if any, achieve a clean sheet throughout all their group stage matches.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team or any team does not concede a goal during the entire group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. For resolution purposes, conceding a goal means allowing the opposing team to score during a match. Own goals are attributed as conceded goals to the team that made the error, not to the team that benefited from the mistake. A team must maintain a clean sheet across all group stage matches to satisfy the condition.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent forecasts. For Group Stage: Teams to Not Concede a Goal, market odds may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or tactical shifts. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, though both sources ultimately estimate the same underlying event outcome.
On Kalshi, Group Stage: Teams to Not Concede a Goal is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability each team avoids conceding during group play. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price represents the implied probability of that outcome. As new information emerges—team form, lineup changes, or head-to-head matchups—the market price adjusts continuously. Kalshi's order book displays bid-ask spreads, allowing you to enter at competitive prices or set limit orders to trade at your target probability.
The Group Stage: Teams to Not Concede a Goal market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final results of each team's group-stage matches. The outcome for each team depends on whether they conceded at least one goal across all their group fixtures. Once all group-stage games conclude and results are confirmed, the market settles based on the actual performance of each team during that period.
Several catalysts can shift Group Stage: Teams to Not Concede a Goal odds before Jun 28, 2026. Key player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements directly impact defensive capability. Opponent strength and recent form—especially attacking prowess—influence clean-sheet probability. Weather conditions and venue factors on match day affect gameplay. Early group-stage results create momentum; a team conceding early may see odds shift downward, while a strong defensive display raises them. Tactical adjustments, managerial changes, or surprise team selections can also trigger rapid repricing as traders reassess each team's defensive resilience.