TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 9:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks the exact finishing order of the four teams in Group K during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. The leading scenario—Portugal first, Congo DR second, Uzbekistan third, and Colombia fourth—stands at 48.5%, with an alternative ordering also at 48.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official final standings published by FIFA following the completion of all group stage matches. Watch the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026, when the final standings for Group K will be confirmed.
Group K consists of Portugal, Congo DR, Uzbekistan, and Colombia competing in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final standing order for all four teams. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records. A market resolves to Yes if the teams finish in the exact order specified by that particular outcome. All 24 possible permutations of the four teams' finishing positions are covered across the markets.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many traders competing for profit. For Group K exact-order outcomes, prediction markets may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus diverges from professional bookmakers' assessments.
The Group K: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final standings of Group K after all group-stage matches are completed in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. The exact order of teams—ranked by points, goal differential, and other FIFA tiebreaker rules—will be compared against the outcome specified in the winning contract. Only one contract will resolve to 100 cents; all others resolve to zero. The market locks further trading shortly before the final Group K match concludes.
Group K: Exact Order prices will shift in response to team performance in qualifying matches, confirmed squad rosters, and injury announcements affecting key players. Unexpected results in other World Cup groups may indirectly influence Group K dynamics by changing how teams approach their matches. Tactical changes, coaching decisions, and head-to-head results between Group K teams will be major catalysts. Media reports on team form, player fitness, and psychological momentum heading into the tournament can also trigger significant repricing. As matches unfold, each result will narrow the possible final standings and concentrate probability on the remaining viable outcomes.