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Group I: Exact Order
kalshi

Group I: Exact Order

Volume:
$76,104

1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq

 - Kalshi

1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 5:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,540
N/A
N/A
$11,474
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: France / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,669
N/A
N/A
$20,762
Settled
No
kalshi

1: France / 2: Senegal / 3: Norway / 4: Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,808
N/A
N/A
$7,429
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: France / 3: Iraq / 4: Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,447
N/A
N/A
$4,015
Settled
No
kalshi

1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Iraq / 4: Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,128
N/A
N/A
$3,585
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: Norway / 3: France / 4: Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$2,012
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: Iraq / 3: France / 4: Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,452
N/A
N/A
$1,452
Settled
No
kalshi

1: France / 2: Iraq / 3: Norway / 4: Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

1: France / 2: Senegal / 3: Iraq / 4: Norway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: France / 3: Norway / 4: Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
$870
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: Norway / 3: Iraq / 4: France

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$897
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: Senegal / 3: France / 4: Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: France / 3: Iraq / 4: Norway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

1: France / 2: Iraq / 3: Senegal / 4: Norway

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: Iraq / 3: France / 4: Norway

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Senegal / 2: Iraq / 3: Norway / 4: France

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: France / 3: Senegal / 4: Norway

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: France / 3: Norway / 4: Senegal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: Senegal / 3: France / 4: Norway

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: Senegal / 3: Norway / 4: France

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: Norway / 3: France / 4: Senegal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Iraq / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: France

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: Senegal / 3: Iraq / 4: France

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Norway / 2: Iraq / 3: Senegal / 4: France

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the final standings order for Group I in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage, where Senegal, France, Norway, and Iraq will compete. The scenario of Senegal finishing first, France second, Norway third, and Iraq fourth currently trades at 20.5% on Kalshi, while an alternative exact-order outcome trades at 20.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final standings released by FIFA following the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026.

Kalshi

Group I consists of France, Senegal, Iraq, and Norway competing in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final standing order for all four teams. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records. A market resolves to Yes if the teams finish in the exact order specified by that particular outcome. All 24 possible permutations of the four teams' finishing positions are covered across the markets.

Frequently asked questions

The Group I: Exact Order dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for predictions on the exact final standings of Group I in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. The dashboard displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume in USD. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new team information, injury reports, and qualification scenarios emerge. This single-venue view provides transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing the likelihood of different group finishing orders.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs. For Group I: Exact Order, the Kalshi market may price certain group outcomes differently than major sportsbooks, reflecting unique information or risk appetite among prediction market participants. Comparing the two venues can reveal where consensus is strongest or where contrarian opportunities exist.

The Group I: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, following the completion of all Group I matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Resolution is determined by the official final standings of the group, ranked by points earned, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA regulations. The exact order of all teams in Group I—from first to fourth place—must match the outcome specified in the winning contract for traders to receive their payout. Once FIFA publishes the final group standings, the market settles accordingly.

Key catalysts for Group I: Exact Order include team roster announcements, major player injuries or suspensions, recent international friendlies and qualifying results, and coaching changes. Tactical shifts, weather conditions at tournament venues, and head-to-head matchup outcomes during the group stage will directly influence final standings. Pre-tournament analysis, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity can also shift market prices. As matches unfold, each result narrows the possible outcomes, causing the market to reprice remaining scenarios based on remaining fixtures and current point totals.