TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the precise final standings order for Group H at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, where Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay will compete in the group stage. On Kalshi, the probability that Spain finishes first, Cape Verde second, Saudi Arabia third, and Uruguay fourth stands at 20.5%, with an alternative ordering also at 20.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official final group standings as recorded by FIFA. Watch the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026, when the final standings will be confirmed.
Group H consists of Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay competing in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final standing order for all four teams. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records. A market resolves to Yes if the teams finish in the exact order specified by that particular outcome. All 24 possible permutations of the four teams' finishing positions are covered across the markets.
The Group H: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, following the completion of all group-stage matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. The outcome is determined by the final standings table for Group H, which ranks teams by points earned, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA rules. Once all matches conclude and final positions are confirmed by official tournament records, the market settles to reflect the actual exact order in which teams finished the group stage.
Key catalysts for Group H: Exact Order include team roster announcements, player injuries or suspensions, pre-tournament friendlies and form, and tactical shifts by coaches. During the group stage itself, match results, goal-scoring patterns, and head-to-head outcomes directly reshape standings probabilities. Late-stage matches carry the most weight, as they determine final tiebreaker scenarios. Unexpected performances, red cards, or controversial referee decisions can swing odds significantly. Political or weather disruptions, though rare, could also influence team preparation and on-field execution, moving market prices as traders reassess each team's likelihood of finishing in specific positions.