TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Group H: Exact Order
kalshi

Group H: Exact Order

Volume:
$109,963

1: Spain / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Uruguay / 4: Saudi Arabia

 - Kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Uruguay / 4: Saudi Arabia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 10:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Uruguay / 4: Saudi Arabia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,059
N/A
N/A
$7,981
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,053
N/A
N/A
$18,132
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Uruguay / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,211
N/A
N/A
$16,554
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,774
N/A
N/A
$10,654
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Uruguay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,633
N/A
N/A
$9,768
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Spain / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,695
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Spain / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Uruguay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,694
N/A
N/A
$5,542
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Spain / 3: Uruguay / 4: Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,245
N/A
N/A
$2,664
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Spain / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,665
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Uruguay / 4: Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
$1,376
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Uruguay / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
$1,216
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Uruguay / 3: Spain / 4: Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Spain / 4: Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Spain / 4: Uruguay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Cape Verde / 2: Spain / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Uruguay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Uruguay / 3: Spain / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Spain / 3: Uruguay / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Spain / 4: Cape Verde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Spain / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Uruguay

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Spain / 4: Uruguay

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Cape Verde / 3: Uruguay / 4: Spain

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Saudi Arabia / 2: Uruguay / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Spain

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Uruguay / 2: Saudi Arabia / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Spain

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the precise final standings order for Group H at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, where Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay will compete in the group stage. On Kalshi, the probability that Spain finishes first, Cape Verde second, Saudi Arabia third, and Uruguay fourth stands at 20.5%, with an alternative ordering also at 20.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official final group standings as recorded by FIFA. Watch the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026, when the final standings will be confirmed.

Kalshi

Group H consists of Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay competing in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final standing order for all four teams. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records. A market resolves to Yes if the teams finish in the exact order specified by that particular outcome. All 24 possible permutations of the four teams' finishing positions are covered across the markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on liability management and betting patterns, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For Group H: Exact Order, market-derived probabilities may price in late team news, injury updates, or tactical shifts faster than sportsbooks. Comparing the two venues reveals how professional traders value the exact group sequence relative to conventional betting markets.

The Group H: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, following the completion of all group-stage matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. The outcome is determined by the final standings table for Group H, which ranks teams by points earned, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA rules. Once all matches conclude and final positions are confirmed by official tournament records, the market settles to reflect the actual exact order in which teams finished the group stage.

Key catalysts for Group H: Exact Order include team roster announcements, player injuries or suspensions, pre-tournament friendlies and form, and tactical shifts by coaches. During the group stage itself, match results, goal-scoring patterns, and head-to-head outcomes directly reshape standings probabilities. Late-stage matches carry the most weight, as they determine final tiebreaker scenarios. Unexpected performances, red cards, or controversial referee decisions can swing odds significantly. Political or weather disruptions, though rare, could also influence team preparation and on-field execution, moving market prices as traders reassess each team's likelihood of finishing in specific positions.