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Group G Team to Finish Bottom
kalshi

Group G Team to Finish Bottom

Volume:
$40,227

New Zealand

 - Kalshi

New Zealand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 1:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,268
N/A
N/A
$15,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,893
N/A
N/A
$8,418
Settled
No
kalshi

Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,649
N/A
N/A
$5,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,417
N/A
N/A
$3,104
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks which team will finish in last place within Group G at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. On Kalshi, New Zealand finishing bottom carries a 37.5% probability, while IR Iran finishing bottom stands at 26.5%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records following the completion of all group stage matches. Watch each team's performance during the group stage matches leading up to the final standings announcement on June 29, 2026.

Kalshi

The team to finish bottom of Group G is determined by final group standings following all round-robin matches. Last place is defined as the team with the lowest points total. When two or more teams are tied on points for last place, FIFA's official tiebreaking procedures applicable to the 2026 World Cup determine the final group standings and identify which team finishes in last place.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a 4–6% edge and adjust odds to balance action on both sides. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs directly and update continuously as new information emerges. For Group G Team to Finish Bottom, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd sees value or where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers. Both sources are useful; prediction markets excel at capturing live consensus, while sportsbooks offer tighter liquidity on major events.

The Group G Team to Finish Bottom market resolves on Jun 29, 2026, after the final group-stage matches conclude at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Resolution is determined by the official FIFA standings for Group G once all three rounds of group play are complete. The team with the lowest points total—calculated by wins, draws, and head-to-head records—finishes bottom. If two or more teams are tied on points, FIFA's tiebreaker rules (goal difference, goals scored, and head-to-head records) determine the final ranking. The market will settle based on the official final Group G table published by FIFA.

Several catalysts could shift odds for Group G Team to Finish Bottom before the tournament begins. Key player injuries or transfers involving Group G squads will alter perceived strength. Qualifying-round performance and recent friendlies provide form signals that traders monitor closely. Coaching changes or tactical shifts can reshape expectations. As the tournament approaches, official team sheets and lineup confirmations become critical. During group play itself, early match results and head-to-head outcomes will dramatically reprrice the market. A team's first loss or unexpected win can swing odds sharply. Injury updates during the tournament, weather conditions, and referee assignments may also influence trader sentiment on which team finishes last.