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Group G: Exact Order
kalshi

Group G: Exact Order

Volume:
$137,010

1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand

 - Kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 1:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,894
N/A
N/A
$30,635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: IR Iran / 3: Egypt / 4: New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,410
N/A
N/A
$23,416
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: Belgium / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,688
N/A
N/A
$7,328
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: Belgium / 3: New Zealand / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,091
N/A
N/A
$6,840
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: IR Iran / 3: Belgium / 4: New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,026
N/A
N/A
$6,238
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: Belgium / 3: Egypt / 4: New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,204
N/A
N/A
$3,755
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: New Zealand / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,289
N/A
N/A
$3,300
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: Egypt / 3: Belgium / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,585
N/A
N/A
$2,585
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: Egypt / 3: Belgium / 4: New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,407
N/A
N/A
$1,340
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: IR Iran / 3: New Zealand / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,182
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: Belgium / 3: Egypt / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,116
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: New Zealand / 3: Egypt / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$769
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: IR Iran / 3: New Zealand / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: New Zealand / 3: Belgium / 4: IR Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: Belgium / 3: New Zealand / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: Egypt / 3: New Zealand / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Egypt / 2: New Zealand / 3: IR Iran / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Belgium / 2: New Zealand / 3: IR Iran / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: Belgium / 3: IR Iran / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$180
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: New Zealand / 3: Belgium / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$119
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: IR Iran / 3: Egypt / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

1: New Zealand / 2: IR Iran / 3: Belgium / 4: Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
kalshi

1: IR Iran / 2: New Zealand / 3: Egypt / 4: Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the exact finishing order of all four teams in Group G during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. On Kalshi, the scenario where Belgium finishes first, Iran second, Egypt third, and New Zealand fourth stands at 19.5%, while an alternative ordering is priced at 17.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final standings released by FIFA following the completion of group stage matches. Watch the group stage matches scheduled through June 28, 2026, as each result will narrow the possible final orderings and shift probabilities accordingly.

Kalshi

Group G of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup consists of Belgium, Egypt, Iran, and New Zealand. The market resolves to Yes if these teams finish in one of the specified orderings during the group stage. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records to rank teams when they are level on points.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed or slow-moving lines with built-in margins, while prediction markets update continuously as new information arrives. For Group G exact-order outcomes, prediction markets may price tail scenarios more efficiently than sportsbooks, though sportsbooks often provide tighter spreads on simpler match-outcome bets. Comparing the two reveals how professional traders value long-term tournament structure versus bookmaker risk models.

The Group G: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all Group G matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup have concluded. Resolution is determined by the final official standings table for Group G as published by FIFA, ranked by points, goal differential, and goals scored according to tournament rules. The exact sequence of teams from first to fourth place in the group determines which outcome contract settles to 100 cents and all others to zero. No tied positions are possible under FIFA's tiebreaker hierarchy.

Group G exact-order odds will shift based on team roster announcements, injury updates to key players, qualifying-round performance, and head-to-head matchup previews. Coaching changes, tactical shifts, or surprise form dips in the months before the tournament can reprrice expectations for group dominance. As the tournament begins, actual match results in Group G will dramatically reprrice remaining outcomes; early wins or losses reshape the probability of each team finishing first, second, third, or fourth. Transfer market moves and international friendly results also serve as sentiment indicators for trader positioning.