TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will finish in last place within Group F at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. On Kalshi, Tunisia has a 34.0% probability of finishing bottom, while Sweden shows 25.5% probability for the same outcome. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records following the completion of all group stage matches. Watch the group stage results as they unfold through June 29, 2026, when the final group standings will be confirmed.
The team to finish bottom of Group F is determined by final group standings following all round-robin matches. Last place is defined as the team with the lowest points total. When two or more teams are tied on points for last place, FIFA's official tiebreaking procedures applicable to the 2026 World Cup determine the final group standings and identify which team finishes in last place.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by continuous peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on liability management and sharp action, while prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate distributed beliefs across thousands of traders. For Group F Team to Finish Bottom, the prediction market price may move faster or slower than sportsbooks depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two venues reveals how professional and retail market participants value the same outcome differently.
The Group F Team to Finish Bottom market resolves on Jun 29, 2026, after all Group F matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup have concluded. Resolution is determined by the official final standings of Group F, specifically which team finishes in last place based on points, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA rules. The market outcome is binary: either the specified team finishes bottom or it does not. Resolution occurs automatically once the tournament administrator confirms the final group table and the market settles based on the verified result.
Key catalysts for Group F Team to Finish Bottom include match results from Group F fixtures, team injuries or roster changes announced before the tournament, recent international friendlies and qualifying form, and updated World Cup draw analysis. Early group-stage outcomes will have the largest impact, as wins or losses directly affect final standings. Coaching changes, player transfers, or unexpected team news can shift market expectations about a team's competitive strength. As the tournament progresses, each match result narrows uncertainty and reprices the probability of which team finishes last, with the final matches carrying maximum weight on the outcome.