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Group F: Exact Order
kalshi

Group F: Exact Order

Volume:
$145,084

1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia

 - Kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 9:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,011
N/A
N/A
$45,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Netherlands / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,599
N/A
N/A
$23,491
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Sweden / 3: Japan / 4: Tunisia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,702
N/A
N/A
$17,916
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Netherlands / 3: Japan / 4: Tunisia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,029
N/A
N/A
$3,378
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Sweden / 3: Netherlands / 4: Tunisia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,274
N/A
N/A
$2,688
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Netherlands / 3: Tunisia / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,840
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Sweden / 3: Japan / 4: Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,745
N/A
N/A
$2,745
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Tunisia / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,756
N/A
N/A
$1,095
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Japan / 3: Netherlands / 4: Tunisia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,032
N/A
N/A
$734
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Sweden / 3: Tunisia / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$841
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Netherlands / 3: Tunisia / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
$777
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Tunisia / 3: Japan / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Tunisia / 3: Sweden / 4: Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Japan / 3: Tunisia / 4: Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Japan / 3: Netherlands / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Netherlands / 2: Tunisia / 3: Sweden / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Sweden / 3: Tunisia / 4: Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Netherlands / 3: Japan / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Tunisia / 3: Netherlands / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Sweden / 2: Tunisia / 3: Japan / 4: Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Japan / 2: Tunisia / 3: Netherlands / 4: Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Sweden / 3: Netherlands / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Netherlands / 3: Sweden / 4: Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

1: Tunisia / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Netherlands

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the final standings order for Group F at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, specifically whether Japan finishes first, Sweden second, Netherlands third, and Tunisia fourth. On Kalshi, this exact ordering outcome is priced at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final standings released by FIFA following the completion of all group stage matches. Watch the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026, when the final positions for all four teams will be confirmed.

Kalshi

Group F of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup consists of Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia. The market resolves to Yes if these teams finish in one of the specified orderings during the group stage. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records to rank teams when they are level on points.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks typically incorporate margin and risk management into their lines, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For Group F: Exact Order, the Kalshi market may price certain standing sequences differently than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing these two sources can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the likely final group order.

On Kalshi, Group F: Exact Order is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability of each possible final standings sequence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares based on their belief in which teams will finish first, second, third, and fourth in the group. The current market price reflects the aggregated conviction of all active traders; as match results, injuries, or tactical shifts occur, prices adjust in real time. Kalshi's order-book mechanism ensures transparent price discovery for this exact-order outcome throughout the tournament window.

The Group F: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all group-stage matches in Group F have been completed. The outcome is determined by the final standings table for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, ranked by points, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA regulations. Once the official final group standings are confirmed by FIFA, the market settles to the exact order that occurred, and traders' positions are resolved accordingly.

Key catalysts for Group F: Exact Order include team roster announcements, pre-tournament friendlies, and injury updates for star players. During the group stage itself, each match result directly impacts the standings and reshapes probabilities for the final order. Tactical surprises, unexpected team form, weather conditions, and referee decisions in live matches can all shift market prices. Additionally, head-to-head tiebreaker scenarios and goal-differential swings in later matches may dramatically alter which teams finish in which positions, causing sharp repricing in the final days before resolution.