TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will finish last in Group B of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, determined by the fewest points accumulated during group stage play. On Kalshi, Qatar is priced at 71.0% to finish bottom of the group, while Bosnia and Herzegovina stands at 26.5%. The resolution source is the official final group standings as determined by FIFA. Watch the group stage matches concluding on June 29, 2026, when all Group B results will be finalized and the last-place team confirmed.
Resolution depends on which team finishes in last place in Group B during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Last place is determined by final group standings after all matches conclude. If two or more teams are tied on points for last place, the official tiebreaking procedures applicable to the competition will determine the final group standings and identify which team is officially in last place.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders and differ from traditional sportsbook odds, which are set by oddsmakers and adjusted for margin. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed or slower-moving lines, while prediction markets update continuously based on participant trading activity. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals how the crowd-sourced prediction market view diverges from professional bookmaker assessments. These differences often highlight unique insights into Group B dynamics that may not be fully priced into conventional betting markets.
The Group B Team to Finish Bottom market resolves on Jun 29, 2026, following the conclusion of all Group B matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Resolution is determined by the official final standings of Group B as published by FIFA. The team with the lowest points total at the end of group play will be confirmed as the bottom finisher. If two or more teams are tied on points, FIFA's tiebreaker rules—including goal difference, goals scored, and head-to-head records—establish the definitive bottom position.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, and pre-tournament friendlies that reveal form and tactical adjustments. Qualifying results and playoff outcomes will finalize Group B composition. Once the tournament begins, each group match result directly impacts point totals and goal differentials, shifting the probability of which team finishes bottom. Managerial changes, unexpected tactical shifts, and momentum swings during the group stage will drive significant price movements. Late-stage matches carry the most weight, as final standings depend on results from the last round of simultaneous Group B fixtures.