TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the final standings order for Group B at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, specifically whether Qatar finishes first, Bosnia and Herzegovina second, Switzerland third, and Canada fourth. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries 48.5% probability, with an alternative ordering also at 48.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official final group stage standings as published following the conclusion of Group B matches. Watch the group stage matches scheduled through June 28, 2026, as each result will directly determine the final positioning of all four teams.
Group B consists of Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, and Switzerland competing in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final standing order for all four teams. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records. A market resolves to Yes if the teams finish in the exact order specified by that particular outcome. All 24 possible permutations of the four teams' finishing positions are covered across the markets.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and build in larger margins. Prediction markets reward accurate forecasters directly, creating incentives for informed traders to correct mispricing. For Group B exact order outcomes, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd and professional bookmakers disagree on the likelihood of specific finishing sequences.
The Group B: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all Group B matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup have concluded. Resolution is determined by the official final standings of Group B as published by FIFA, based on points earned, goal differential, and head-to-head records according to tournament rules. The exact finishing order—first through fourth place—determines which outcome contract settles to YES and all others to NO. Traders holding the correct sequence prediction receive their payout upon resolution.
Key catalysts for Group B: Exact Order odds include team roster announcements, injuries to star players, qualifying-round results that reveal form, and pre-tournament friendlies. During the group stage itself, each match result directly impacts the probability of remaining finishing orders. Tactical changes, managerial decisions, and head-to-head outcomes between Group B teams will shift market prices as the tournament progresses. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and unexpected upsets in early matches can also trigger significant repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of each possible final sequence.